期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Trading ideas for futures top traders.docx
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期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Trading ideas for futures top traders.docx
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期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders
期货顶尖交易员的交易思路(Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders)
Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders
1.peaceofmind:
Foreachtransaction,youshouldclearlyestablishthereasonfortheposition.Youshouldbefullyawareofyourexpecteddevelopmentsothatyoucanfeelcomfortablewiththedealandtheparts.Ifyoudon'tfeelsecure,don'ttrade.Tradingplansareanecessaryprerequisitefortradingatease,andthisisthefundamentalconceptoftrading.
2.plan:
Toptradersusuallypickthetriggersandtargetsofthedeal".Theywillnotspurofthemoment.Theplanisdefinitelyakeyfactorinthesuccessofthetransaction,andevenifthefloortraderneedsimmediateresponsetothemarket,thereisaneedforaclearplotanalysisof"if...".TheyconsideredallpossibledevelopmentsandCountermeasuresinadvance.Sotradingplanscanreducestress,boostconfidence,andmaketradersfeelreassured.Themainbenefitsareclearthinkingandself-discipline.
3.myexperience:
Thereisnogoodreasonnottobuythestock(buyshouldbeconfidentandnothesitate),buyingstockswiththemarketpriceshouldbelowandthebanddecidedthatunlessexperienced,itisverynecessarytomakeaplaninadvance.
Two,futuresrisk
1.patience:
Toptradersareaversetorisk,andtheywaitpatientlyforthemostfavorablerisk/rewardrelationship.AsBillLipschutzputsit,"iftraderscanreducethenumberoftransactionsby50%,theycanusuallymakemoremoney."".
Goodtradersarepatientbecausetheydon'tworryaboutlosingopportunities.It'saveryimportantmindset-opportunitiesarealwaysthere.
2.funding:
Thesourcesoftradingfundsmayaffectthe***style,especiallyattherisklevel.
3.luck:
Toptradersputthemselvesinapositionwheretheycanacceptgoodluck.Trytoimproveyourodds.
BothDavidKateandBillLipschutzpointoutthatonlyahandfulofdealscanmakeabigdifferenceeveryyear.Whentheyfeelthatthereisahighprofitpotentialinsomearea,theywill"pulltheluckysail",enlargethesizeofthepart,anddon'tprematurelyfinishtheposition.Inthiscase,theyhadthegutstobetabigbet.
4.gradualtransactions:
Toptradersadoptagradualapproachtotrading,slowlyaccumulatedprofit-don'ttakerisks,don'ttrytohitthehomerun.Theyunderstandthatitisstillpossibletoentertomorrow,andtheimportanceoftradingisfargreaterthantoday'sprofit.Asaresult,theyabsolutelydonotallowcontinuedlossestoforcethemback
5.comfortlimits:
Toptradersplaceriskwithintheircomfortlimits.Iftherisksarefoundtobetoohigh,theynarrowdownthesizeofthemarketortradeinspreads.Onlystaywithinthecomfortlimits,thoughtswillbeclear,decision-makingwillbeobjective,andtransactionperformancewillbepromotedaccordingly.
6.myexperience:
Thepurchasepriceandthestoppricegapwiththeauthorisproportionaltothelevel(i.e.,thehigherthelevelofthemorecomfortablepositionstop),thekeyistobuythebestpriceistheoutcomeofthewinninghand,buyafterclosingshouldknowthatwinningorwrongoutassoonaspossible.Myapproachisthatthereisnochanceof90%,noentry,thepotentialspaceandthemaximumpotentiallossratioisatleastthree:
1.Shortlinedoesnothave10%space,thecentrallinedoesnothave20%ofthetheoryspace,istheknifeedgelickblood,becausemusttakeintoaccounttheearlyelimination.(itcan'tbesoldatthehighestpriceeverytime.)
Loss1.admiterror:
Toptradersarenotafraidtoadmitmistakes.Selfrecognitionorselfesteemisnotwrong.Theyknowthatjudgmentisasurethingtohappeninatrade.Regainclearthinkingandconcentrationthroughcompensation.Infact,manyinjuredpeoplementionhowtolearnfromloss.PhilFlynnevensays,"learnhowtolovesmalllosses."".
2.appearances:
Toptraderswillpreplanthelossestheyarepreparedtoaccept,andtheyhavefirmself-disciplinetoplayatthescheduledstoplossprice.
ForthecaseofBernard,
Orexpectwhathashappened,hewillappear.ForBillLipschutz,ifhelosesmorethanhewouldliketoaccept,hewillappear.Inotherwords,thepositionoftheplaydependsonacertainlevelofpain,andoncethepainisabovethislevel,itrepresentsitselfbeyondthecomfortthreshold.
3.myexperience:
Themaximumlosspertransactionis3%,thatis,aslongasthesharepricefallsbelow3%ofthebuyingprice,unlessitisaverysurebottom,Iwillrecognizeit.Becausemypurchasepriceisveryparticular,thepurchaserequirementcannotbecovered(95%successrate),soIhavethisopportunitytorecognizethelossassoonaspossible.Thebuyingpricehasfallenby3%,whichhasbeenagreatfailureforme.Itshouldbeabuyorsellorabuyattheclosingprice
1,fromthebottomupanalysis.
*understandalltheplayersandwatchwhattheysayanddo.Theso-calledplayer,referstohavetheinfluenceofthepeoplecannotbeignored.
*understandwhattheyshouldsayfortheirownbenefit,orwhatinteresttheymayhaveintheirwords.Whatisthemotivation?
Whatarethehiddenissues?
Aslongasitinvolvestheinterestsofanyconversation,cannotbelieve.
Foreachinterestgroup,whatarethebest,suboptimal,andthirdoutcomestheywant?
*whereisthefocusandinfluenceofeachinterestgroup?
.
*howwilleachgroupreacttoeachoutcome?
Ifsomeonehasdoneso,howaboutotherpeople'sreactionsandsubsequentdevelopments?
2dynamicanalysis
*theremustbeastorybehindeveryevent,andyoumustknowthestory.
*mustknowwhathisopponentthinks,andwhatexactlyisthedifferencebetweenhimandhim?
3,treatpositions
*maintainanopenmindandanobjectivepositiontodealwithanopenposition.
*whenyoutrytoevaluateanopenstockwithanobjectiveperspective,emotionsalwaysinterfere.
*foranexcellenttrader,howtocontroltheabilityofthemindismuchmoreimportantthanhowtousethebrain".
*deceivingoneselfisthemainreasonforalossinthemarket.
4howtofacelossesanddealwithprofits
*stressandfear,it'simportantexperience.
*facinganewprice,youaskyourselfaquestion:
ifyouhaven'tbuiltapositionyet,wouldyouliketobuyatthisprice?
Theanswerisno,thenyousell.
*quicklyadmitlossesandallowprofitableareastocontinuetodevelop.
*isthebasisforestablishingthepositioncorrect?
.
5fundmanagement
Whatisthemaximumamountofriskyoucanaffordinanysingletransaction?
*whenIestablishtheposition,whatpercentageofthelosswillIbepreparedtopay?
6strategiesfordiversification
*ifindividualpartssharethesamemarketrisk,thebenefitsofdiversificationcannotbeprovided.
*thesizeofindividualsitesmustbesimilar.Ifthesizeoftheninelocationsis$100andthetenthis$10000,suchdiversificationwillnotmakemuchsense.
*pricefluctuationsinindividuallocationsshouldbesimilar.
7,thecharacteristicsoftraders
*enthusiasm.Youhavetounderstandwhythishappensinthemarket.Youhavetodecidewhobuysandwhosells.Whataretheirmotives?
Theanswertothesequestionsallthetimemustbe8extraordinarypatience,energy,anddesire.
*courage.Ifyouhaveaknackforit,anymistakeisyourproblem.Ittakescouragetoholdadifferentview.Butdifferentviewsdonotmeanthatacertain9canmakemoney.Thebesttradingopportunitiesmustnotbeuniversallyaccepted.
*openmind.
*self-discipline.
10funding
*thesourcesoffundingfortransactionsmayaffectthestyleandperformance
*moneymanagementisaverycomplexgame,oftencontrarytocommonsense
11,theadvantagesofindividualtraders
*Don'tneedtomakeadeal.Besuretoknowwhatthemarketlookslike.Ifyoudon'thavetherightmarket,ifyoudon'thaveahighchanceofwinning,don'tforceyourselfintothegame.The12keytothewholegameistokeepyouredge
*decisioncontrolprocedures
*information.Nevermakeinformationconvenienceanegativenumber.Allinformationmustbemanaged,otherwiseitdoesn'tmakemuchsense
*elasticityandsharpness
*pressure
13concentrationandenthusiasm
*ifthemotiveofthetransactionismoney,thedirectionisclearlywrong
*manypeoplehavenowaytomaintainlong-termhardworkbecausetheyarereluctanttoinvesttime
*inthefaceofeverythinginlife,youhavetobehighlyorganizedandabletoassessprioritiessothatyoucanstayfocused
14,thecharacteristicsoftraders
*confidenceinloss,couragetoovercomeselfandadmiterror
Theso-calledcourage,confidenceandself.Theobjectisnottheotherperson,butmustbeabletooftenadmitthepsychologicalcharacteristicsofmistakes
*thereisnosuchthingasanupsidedowntrait,andeachtraitneedstobebalancedbyanotherauxiliarytrait
Introspectionandselfevaluationarepartoftheself
15luck
*therearemanyhelplessthingsorincapableofactiononthemarket,completelyexceededthescopeofcontroltraders.Traderscancontroltheonlysensibleanalysisandbet.Theso-calledwise,istograsptheoddsorincreasetheprobabilityofafavorableoutcome.
*luckisalwaysanimportantvariableinthetradingbusiness
16fearandanxiety
*atradercannotfeelparalyzedbylossbecauseofhisconfidence.Hemustfeelthepainofloss,butitmustnotturnfearintofear
*regardlessofyourpersonalpsychologicaldrive,fearcomesfromyourself
*afterintrospection,theremaybesomethinguseful,butthatdoesnotmeanthatthetransactionisprofitable,butthatitrepresentstheabilitytodealwithfear
*sheerwillpowercanovercomeanypersonalitydisorder
17information
*oneofthedifficultiesofmarketanalysisisthatwhe
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