chinaafricarealstory.docx
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chinaafricarealstory.docx
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chinaafricarealstory
china'sexport-importbankandafrica
PostedonFebruary2,2007
Topics:
EconomicDevelopment
Countries:
China
Previouslyfiledunder:
Asia, GlobalEconomy
ANotefromtheCenterforGlobalDevelopmentbyToddMossandSarahRose.
ChineseloanstoAfricacouldleadtoanewdebtcrisis.
ToddMossisaseniorfellowandSarahRosearesearchassistantattheCenterforGlobalDevelopment.ThisCGDNotewasreprintedwithpermissionfromCGD.AccessthisNoteandrelatedpublicationsonthe CenterforGlobalDevelopment website.
TheriseofChina'seconomicandpoliticalmighthasbeenfeltespeciallystronglyinAfrica.Chinahaslongbeenactivelyengagedonthecontinent,beginningwithcolonial-erasupportfornationalistsandmassconstructionofrailwaysandstadiumsintheearlyindependenceperiod.Morerecently,ChinahasmadearenewedpushintoAfricaaspartofitsforeignpolicystrategytosecureaccesstonaturalresourcesandreassertitselfontheglobalstage.TheExport-ImportBankofChinaisagrowing—ifstillmostlyunknown—instrumentofthatstrategy,notonlytoboosttradeandinvestment,butalsotoenhanceChineseinfluenceabroad.ThisNotepresentssomeofthebasicfactsaboutChinaExImandidentifiesseveralpotentialimplicationsforAfricaandtheWest.
WhatisChinaExIm?
TheExport-ImportBankofChina,establishedin1994,iswhollyownedbythegovernmentanditsmanagementisappointedby,andreportsto,theStateCouncil.ChinaExIm,alongwithitstwosisterorganizations,istaskedtopromoteexportsandinvestment. 1 Itsmainactivitiesareexportcredit,internationalguarantees,loansforoverseasconstructionandinvestment,andofficiallinesofcredit.TheBank'sportfoliohasgrowndramatically,withannualdisbursementsmorethantriplinginfiveyearsto$15billion.
ChinahasmadearenewedpushintoAfricaaspartofitsforeignpolicystrategytosecureaccesstonaturalresourcesandreassertitselfontheglobalstage.
Althoughexactcomparisonsaredifficultbecauseofreportingdifferences,itappearsthatChinaExImisnowoneofthelargestexportcreditagencies,withprimarycommercialoperationsin2005greaterthanthoseoftheleadagenciesintheUnitedStates,JapanortheUnitedKingdom.HoweverChinaisnotamemberoftheOECDandoperatesoutsidetheexportcreditrulesagreedbyothercountries.
ChinaExIminAfrica
TheBank'sactivitiesarenotreportedregionally,butthereisclearevidenceofsignificantandexpandingoperationsinAfrica.In2005theBankextendeditsexportbuyerscreditmarkettoAfrica.InJanuary2006thegovernmentreleaseditsofficial"AfricanPolicy"whichspecifically"encouragesandsupportsChineseenterprises'investmentandbusinessinAfrica,andwillcontinuetoprovidepreferentialloansandbuyerscreditstothisend." 2 Inaddition,severalExImprojectshavebeenannouncedinthemedia.Althoughsuchreportsaresometimesnotreliable,reportedprojectsinthepasttwoyearsaloneinclude:
∙Apossible$1.2billioninnewloanstoGhana,including$600millionforconstructionoftheBuidam;
∙$2.3billionintotalfinancingforMozambiquefortheMepandaNkuadamandhydroelectricplant,plusanotherpossible$300millionfortheMoamba-Majordam;
∙A$1.6billionloanforaChineseoilprojectinNigeria;
∙$200millioninpreferentialbuyerscreditforNigeria'sfirstcommunicationssatellite;
∙A$2billionlineofcredittoAngola,withthepossibilityofanother$9-10billion;
∙ReportsofloansandexportcreditsforotherprojectsinCongo-Brazzaville,SudanandZimbabwe.
Bycomparison,USExImsupportedtransactionsinallofsub-SaharanAfricatotaledlessthan$500millionin2005.
ImplicationsforAfrica
ThegrowthofChineseexportcreditinAfricaprovidesAfricangovernmentswithalternativesourcesoffinanceandhelpstodiversifytradingpartnersforcountriesthathavetendedtoremainstuckinoldcolonialpatterns.ChinaExIm,likeotherChineselending,doesnotcomewiththepolitical,environmental,orhumanrightsconditionsoftenattachedtoWesternagencyfunds.(Adherencetoa"oneChina"policyisperhapsthemostprominentexception.)ForpariahregimeslikeSudanorZimbabwe,thesecreditscanbealifeline.ForcountriessuchasGhanaorMozambiquewhichareheavilydependentonforeignaid,Chineseloanscanofferanothersourceofcapitalandpotentiallybeusedasleverageagainstdonordemands.ChinaExImisalsotargetingsectorswhereWesternprivateorofficialcapitalisoftenscarce.Chinesecompaniesandbanksareinvestingheavilyinphysicalinfrastructure,asectorwithhighdemandthatmostdonorshaveneglectedinAfricainfavorofeducationandhealth.Chinesefirms,withofficialfinancialbankingfrombankslikeExIm,havealsoenteredmarketsgenerallyshunnedbytheWesternprivatesectorbecauseofrisk,lackofinformation,orconcernsaboutcorruption.
Chineselendingdoesnotcomewiththepolitical,environmentalorhumanrightsconditionsoftenattachedtoWesternagencyfunds.
Onthenegativeside,Chinesefirmsoftenimporttheirownlaborwhichlimitstheeconomicspillovereffects.Theflip-sideofhavinglowerlabororenvironmentalstandardsisthatevenweaklocallawstoprotectthepubliccanbesubverted.Inaddition,recenteventsinZambiahavesuggestedthatChineseinvestmentisnotimmunetothenationalistbacklashesoccasionallydirectedatforeigners.
ChallengesforWesternPolicymakers
TotheextentthatChineseexportcreditpromoteseconomicgrowthinAfrica,recenttrendsshouldbewelcomedbypolicymakersinWesterncapitals.Atthesametime,themountingactivitiesofChina,andChinaExIminparticular,presentssomecomplications.
Competitiveness. TheuseofExImandtheotherofficialagenciestoeffectivelysubsidizeChina'sfirmsundoubtedlyimpactscompetitors.WhereofficialexportcreditisavailableforWesternfirms,itoftencomeswithsubstantialreportingrequirementsandotherstrings.BecausemanyoftheChinesefirmsarestate-owned,theymayalsonotbeunderthesameshareholderpressureforprofitabilityaslongastheyareservingsomeforeignpolicygoal.Leverage.Totheextentthatcreditorshaveinthepastbeenacartel,givingthembargainingpowertoextractconcessionsfromclients,theymaynowlosethatleverageonborrowinggovernments.China,forinstance,providedapotentialalternativesourceofcapitalforChad,whichweakenedthepositionoftheWorldBankinitsrecentrenegotiationsovertheuseoffundsfromtheChad-Cameroonpipelineproject.
Transparencyandgovernance. ChinaExImdoesnotreportitsownactivitiesinthesamewayastheothersimilaragencies(forexample,thetermsofitsloansinAfricaarerarelymadepublic)andtheBankdoesnotplacereportingdemandsonitsclients.Thisnotonlyunderminesexportcreditrulesaimedatkeepingalevelplayingfield,butcouldalsohurtglobaleffortstoreducethesecrecyaroundthefinancingandcontractingoflargeinfrastructureoroilprojects,suchastheExtractiveIndustryTransparencyInitiative(EITI).Angola,forexample,hasabletoresistIMFdemandsforincreasedbudgettransparencypartlybecauseChinaExImhasbeenwillingtolend.3
RecenteventsinZambiasuggestthatChineseinvestmentisnotimmunetothenationalistbacklashesoccasionallydirectedatforeigners.
Environmentalandsocialstandards. Since2004ChinaExImhasrequireditsborrowerstosubmittointernalreviewandcomplywithlocallawsofthehostcountry,butthestandardsandproceduresareambiguous.ChinaisnotpartytoOECDeffortstorequireenvironmentalimpactassessmentonprojectssupportedbyexportcredit,norhaveChinesebankssigneduptotheEquatorPrincipleswhichsetsvoluntaryenvironmentalandsocialstandardsforbanksonallprojectlendinggreaterthan$10million.ProposalstoenhancethedevelopmentimpactofexportcreditalsodependonhowChinaExImresponds.4
Debtsustainability. Perhapsmostcontentiously,muchChineselendinghasbeenonthebackofdebtrelief.SeveralofChinaExIm'sborrowers(Ghana,Mozambique,Congo-Brazzaville)haverecentlyreceivedmajordebtreductionsthroughtheheavilyindebtedpoorcountries(HIPC)initiative.Newlending,whichisoftennonconcessional,couldbeaneconomicproblemiflow-incomecountriesaccumulatetoomuchdebttooquicklyandfindthemselvesbackinanunsustainablesituation.Politically,thecostsareevenhigher.TherecentG8debtreliefinitiativegrantedupto100%debtreliefforHIPCspartlyonthebasisthatthesecountriesweretoopoortobearanydebt.Ifthosesamecountriesimmediatelyborrowagain,creditors(andlegislaturesandtaxpayers)whoarestillappropriatingfundstopayfordebtreliefmay(rightly)viewsucheffortsasindirectlysubsidizingnewChineselending.
Conclusion
TheriseofChinaExImisapotentiallyimportanttrendforAfricandevelopmentbyprovidinganewsourceofcapital,especiallyformuch-neededinfrastructureinvestment.ThegrowingoperationsofChineseofficialbanksalsopresentanumberofchallengestopolicymakerstomitigatetheimpactofChineselendingpracticesoneffortstopromotebettergovernance,standards,anddebtsustainability.AnessentialfirststepwillbegatheringbetterinformationaboutExIm'sactivitiesandengagingwithChina—bilaterallyandthroughtheOECD,WTOandIMF—onthefullrangeofcontentiousissues.
Footnotes
1 TheAgriculturalDevelopmentBankofChinaandtheChinaDevelopmentBank.
2 GovernmentofChina,"China'sAfricanPolicy,"January2006.
3 LouisaLombard,"Africa'sChinaCard.ForeignPolicy
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